Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th Quarter Point Spread
One-Off5d
GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Pittsburgh -1.5 in the 4th quarter 41%
Pittsburgh -1.5 in the 4th quarter 41%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
39.0% / 43.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Pittsburgh -1.5 in the 4th quarter41%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 4th quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh covers a -7.5 point spread against Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Pittsburgh scores more than 7.5 points more than Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th Quarter Spread · Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 points 41%