Data quality warningSource data degradedNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 18, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Philadelphia 59.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 12:30 AM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:30 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Philadelphia vs Kansas City: Point Spread
GeminiPhiladelphia vs Kansas City: Total Goals
GeminiMLB: Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros (Sep 17, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Indianapolis vs Kansas City: Spread
KalshiIndianapolis vs Kansas City: Receiving Yards
KalshiKansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
PolymarketRules
Philadelphia vs the named outcome
- If Philadelphia wins the Major League Soccer match between Philadelphia and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Sporting KC vs. Philadelphia Union · Philadelphia Union 56%
- Also available on Kalshi — Kansas City vs Philadelphia · Philadelphia 59%
- Also available on Polymarket — Sporting Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Union · Philadelphia Union 60%
Open markets
SportsKALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jacob Bridgeman+3.8pt7.6%
- Eric Cole+5.1pt6.7%
- Jackson Suber+1.7pt6.7%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.2M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner+55.0pt100%
- Games Total: O/U 3.5 — Over+27.4pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
+63 more outcomes
KALSHIBMW PGA Championship Winner
- Adam Scott+13.9pt16%
- Rory McIlroy+4.1pt14%
- Aaron Rai+1.0pt11%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo+2.0pt10.3%
- Los Angeles R9.5%
- San Francisco6.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $115.7M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIde Stefano vs Tubello
- Alice Tubello+1.0pt50%
- Samira de Stefano50%
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHIZimbabwe vs Australia
- Australia+9.0pt98%
- Zimbabwe-9.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
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- Pro Baseball Champion
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- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Philadelphia vs Kansas City?
- Gemini prices Philadelphia at 60% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Philadelphia vs Kansas City resolve?
- Philadelphia vs Kansas City is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Philadelphia vs Kansas City settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Philadelphia vs the named outcome
- Where else is Philadelphia vs Kansas City listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket.