Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Philadelphia 47.4%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Philadelphia 47.4%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Philadelphia vs Atlanta: First 5 Innings Moneyline
GeminiPhiladelphia vs Atlanta: First 5 Innings Total
KalshiPhiladelphia vs Atlanta: First 7 Innings
KalshiPhiladelphia vs Atlanta: First 3 Innings
KalshiPhiladelphia vs Atlanta: First 5 Innings
KalshiHow many pitchers will log 200 or more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will be ahead after the first 7 innings?
- This market resolves to Yes if Philadelphia has more runs than Atlanta after the first 7 innings of the MLB game between Philadelphia and Atlanta scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
- If the score is tied after the first 7 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 7 innings of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_First_7_Inning_Leader_95febe12-ac5c-4b09-a3a3-859443aeea89.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Philadelphia vs Atlanta: First 7 Innings · Philadelphia 48%
