GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 8:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Illinois wins by more than 22.5 points 72%Leader of 3 outcomes
Illinois wins by more than 22.5 points 72%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 1:30 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 1:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Illinois in the entire men's college basketball game between Penn and Illinois scheduled for 2026-11-05 at 7:30 p.m. CT is above 22.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Illinois's score minus Penn's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Penn vs Illinois: Spread · Illinois wins by over 7.5 points 94%