Current implied probability
Toronto 42.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Toronto 42.9%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 11:30 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 11:30 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Orlando vs Toronto
- If Toronto wins the Major League Soccer match between Toronto and Orlando originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toronto is 43%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Toronto 43% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Toronto vs Orlando · Toronto 43%
- Also available on Futuur — Toronto vs. Orlando City · Toronto 42%
- Also available on Polymarket — Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC · Toronto FC 43%
