Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Leeds 95.8%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleSep 14, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Leeds91%
Newcastle31.5%
Tie1%
95.8%
3.2%
1.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Newcastle vs Leeds
- If Leeds wins the English Premier League match between Leeds and Newcastle originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Open markets
Sports
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R11.7%
- Buffalo-1.0pt9.9%
- San Francisco+1.0pt8.1%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.2M
- 24h Vol
- $7.4M
KALSHIIndianapolis vs Kansas City: Spread
- Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points-2.0pt68%
- Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points+1.0pt67%
- Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points-1.0pt57%
+24 more outcomes
KALSHIIND Colts vs KC Chiefs
- Kansas City71.3%
- Indianapolis28.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.8M
POLYMARKETColts vs. Chiefs
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 27.5 — Over94%
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 29.5 — Over-1.0pt91%
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 31.5 — Over-0.5pt89%
+57 more outcomes
KALSHIIndianapolis vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
- Kenneth Walker: 1+-1.0pt61%
- Jonathan Taylor: 1+-2.0pt54%
- Rashee Rice: 1+38%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIBlanch vs Mmoh
- Darwin Blanch83%
- Michael Mmoh17%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
- Indianapolis vs Kansas City: 1st Touchdown
- LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- Miami vs San Diego FC
- Detroit vs Chicago WS
- Indianapolis vs Kansas City: Total Points
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Lvlac
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Miasf
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Milwaukee vs Baltimore
- September 20 Indianapolis vs Kansas City
- Aguilar Cardozo vs Dickerson
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Newcastle vs Leeds?
- Gemini prices Leeds at 96% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Newcastle vs Leeds resolve?
- Newcastle vs Leeds is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Newcastle vs Leeds settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Newcastle vs Leeds