GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Philadelphia wins by more than 15.5 points (65%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 1:29 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Philadelphia wins by more than 15.5 points
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 1:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Philadelphia wins by more than 6.5 points97%
Philadelphia wins by more than 4.5 points97%
Philadelphia wins by more than 5.5 points97%
Philadelphia wins by more than 7.5 points96%
Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 points93%
Philadelphia wins by more than 11.5 points88%
Philadelphia wins by more than 13.5 points78%
Philadelphia wins by more than 15.5 points65%
Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 points57%
Philadelphia wins by more than 3.5 points51%
Philadelphia wins by more than 9.5 points44%
New York wins by more than 4.5 points4%
New York wins by more than 6.5 points10%
New York wins by more than 2.5 points51%
Philadelphia wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 15.5 pointsWon
Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
New York wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Philadelphia wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
New York wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
New York wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Philadelphia in the entire NBA game between New York and Philadelphia scheduled for 2026-10-05 at 6:00 p.m. CT is above 6.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Philadelphia's score minus New York's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NBA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
