Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Chicago wins by more than 1.5 goals 27%Leader of 4 outcomes
Reg Time: Chicago wins by more than 1.5 goals 27%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 10, 26, 6:30 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 6:30 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
What will the goal difference be?
- If Chicago Fire FC beats New York City FC by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Chicago Fire FC's goals minus New York City FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).