This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
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Data quality warningStale dataNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
ChicagoAwaiting result
New York CityAwaiting result
TieAwaiting result
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Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome vs Chicago
- If Chicago wins the Major League Soccer match between Chicago and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)