GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
New England -2.5 in the 1st quarter 47%
New England -2.5 in the 1st quarter 47%Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.6
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
47.0% / -
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 9:25 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 9:25 AM UTC
Trends
New England -2.5 in the 1st quarter47%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New England vs Miami: 1st Quarter Total
KalshiNew England vs Miami: 1st Quarter Moneyline
GeminiNew England vs Miami: 1st Quarter Winner
KalshiNew England vs Miami: 1st Quarter Both Teams to Score
KalshiNew England vs Miami: 1st Half Point Spread
GeminiNew England vs Miami: 3rd Quarter Point Spread
GeminiRules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 1st quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -2.5 point spread against Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 2.5 points more than Miami during the 1st quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — New England vs Miami: 1st Quarter Spread · New England wins by over 2.5 points 85%
