GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 11:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Chicago wins 1st Quarter 46%Leader of 3 outcomes
Chicago wins 1st Quarter 46%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 12:15 AM UTCOct 24, 26, 12:15 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Washington vs San Francisco: 1st Quarter Moneyline
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GeminiNew England vs Chicago: 3rd Quarter Moneyline
GeminiNew England vs Chicago: 4th Quarter Moneyline
GeminiNew England vs Chicago: 1st Touchdown
KalshiNew England vs Chicago: 1st Half / Fulltime Result
KalshiRules
Who will score more points in the 1st quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Chicago scores more points than New England during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Chicago and New England scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET.
- If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).
