Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals 26.5%
Reg Time: Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals 26.5%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
25.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 2:30 AM UTCOct 19, 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Trends
Reg Time: Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals26.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
San Jose vs Salt Lake: Point Spread
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Manifold MarketsBoston vs San Jose
KalshiSan Jose St. vs UTEP: Spread
KalshiReal Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes - More Markets
PolymarketRules
What will the goal difference be?
- If Nashville SC beats San Jose Earthquakes by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Nashville SC's goals minus San Jose Earthquakes's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — San Jose vs Nashville: Spread · Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals 27%
