Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 10:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: More than 0.5 goals scored 94%Leader of 6 outcomes
Reg Time: More than 0.5 goals scored 94%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
How many goals will be scored?
- If Napoli and Villarreal collectively score more than 0.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the total goals scored by both teams in the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Total_Terms_and_Conditions_a9f7a715-3e0c-4b4e-a2d6-78d8f246be19.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Villarreal vs Napoli: Total Goals · Over 0.5 goals scored 94%
