GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 4:18 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Toluca 58.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Toluca 58.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 8, 26, 1:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Monterrey vs Toluca
- This market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the Liga MX match between Toluca and Monterrey scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Toluca vs. Monterrey · Toluca 58%
- Also available on Kalshi — Toluca vs Monterrey · Toluca 58%
