GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 3:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 2:54 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Missouri wins by more than 10.5 points87%
Missouri wins by more than 6.5 points63%
Missouri wins by more than 9.5 points54%
Missouri wins by more than 21.5 points33.5%
Missouri wins by more than 14.5 points95.5%
Missouri wins by more than 11.5 points88%
Missouri wins by more than 16.5 points83%
Missouri wins by more than 13.5 points74%
Missouri wins by more than 17.5 points60%
Missouri wins by more than 20.5 points36.5%
Missouri wins by more than 23.5 points32%
Missouri wins by more than 24.5 points27%
Missouri wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 20.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 21.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 23.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 24.5 pointsLost
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Missouri in the entire college football game between Missouri and Arkansas scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 6:45 p.m. CT is above 14.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Missouri's score minus Arkansas's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
