GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Miami 51.3%
Miami 51.3%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
49.0% / 52.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Miami vs Toronto
- If Miami wins the Pro Basketball game between Miami and Toronto originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Miami vs Toronto · Miami 52%
