GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
West Virginia 98.5%
West Virginia 98.5%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$257.5
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 15, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Mercer vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the men's college basketball game between the named outcome and Mercer originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for West Virginia is 99%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference West Virginia 99% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Mercer vs West Virginia · West Virginia 98%