Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Minnesota 59.8%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:45 PMJul 29, 26, 5:40 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Minnesota60%
Compare venues· Minnesota
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · auto | Medium | 61% | +2pt | $735.5 | $858.2 | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 60% | 0pt | $0 | $0 | 28 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Kansas City vs Minnesota
2.0 pts4d
+2.0pt60.4%
39.6%
62 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$913.2
24h Vol$735.5
KALSHIRules
Kansas City vs Minnesota
- If Minnesota wins the MLB regular season game between Minnesota and Kansas City, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Which major U.S. sports city (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) will win a championship first? (6/55+ completed)
$117.7Buffalo: 60%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Kansas City vs Minnesota: First 5 Innings
$2.6KMinnesota wins first 5 innings: 54%KALSHI
KALSHI
Kansas City vs Minnesota: Stolen Bases
$0Byron Buxton: 1+: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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Kansas City vs Minnesota
- If Minnesota wins the MLB regular season game between Minnesota and Kansas City, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.