Current implied probability
León 61.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
León 61.8%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 1:00 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Juárez vs León
- This market resolves to Yes if León wins the Liga MX match between León and Juárez scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for León is 61%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference León 61% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — León vs. Juárez · León 61%
- Also available on Kalshi — Leon vs Juarez · Leon 61%
- Also available on Polymarket — Club León FC vs. FC Juárez · Club León FC 62%
