GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 points 66%Leader of 22 outcomes
Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 points 66%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Indianapolis vs Minnesota
KalshiIndianapolis vs Minnesota: Spread
KalshiIndianapolis vs Minnesota
GeminiIndianapolis vs Minnesota: 1st Half Team Total
KalshiIndianapolis vs Minnesota: Total Points
KalshiNBA: Will the New York Knicks cover the -5.5 point spread against the 76ers on Oct 20?
Manifold MarketsRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Minnesota in the entire NFL game between Indianapolis and Minnesota scheduled for 2026-10-25 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Minnesota's score minus Indianapolis's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Spread · Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 66%
