Current implied probability
Portland 53.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Portland 53.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 2:45 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 2:45 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Houston vs Portland
- If Portland wins the Major League Soccer match between Portland and Houston originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Portland is 52%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Portland 52% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Portland vs Houston · Portland 52%
