GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 11:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
84°F to 85°F 39%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$110.9
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 22, 26, 1:07 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami, FL on September 23, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Miami, FL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Miami on September 23, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 23, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Miami+9.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+91.0pt99%
- Washington DC+14.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $188.1K
- 24h Vol
- $176.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°44.1%
- 82° to 83°19.8%
- 78° to 79°17.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.6K
- 24h Vol
- $116.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 84° to 85°39.1%
- 82° to 83°23.6%
- 86° to 87°16.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $41.2K
- 24h Vol
- $37.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°38.7%
- 65° to 66°34.9%
- 69° to 70°21.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.3K
- 24h Vol
- $30.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- 92-93°F+20.0pt40.2%
- 94-95°F+13.5pt25.2%
- 90-91°F-5.0pt17.8%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- 34°C-4.5pt57.3%
- 35°C+13.0pt33%
- 33°C-11.0pt6.8%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 24?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 24?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026??
- Gemini prices 84°F to 85°F at 39% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in Miami on September 23, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.