GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
73°F to 74°F 55.1%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
73°F to 74°F 55.1%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 27, 26, 1:07 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Boston on September 28, 2026?
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 28, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on September 28, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on September 28, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 28, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
