GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
50°F to 51°F 42.2%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
50°F to 51°F 42.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$246
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Nov 5, 26, 1:59 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Chicago on November 6, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on November 6, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on November 6, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 6, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
