GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Golden State 58.3%
Golden State 58.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.7
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
57.0% / 59.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 17, 26, 1:00 AM UTCNov 18, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- If the named outcome wins the Pro Basketball game between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for November 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Win_Lose_Class_925aa13e-b255-4ef8-85e0-534a6f0a9012.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Golden State is 59%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Golden State 59% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Golden State vs New Orleans · Golden State 57%
