GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Virginia 52%
Virginia 52%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 24, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Duke vs Virginia
- This market resolves to Yes if Virginia wins the College Football game between Virginia and Duke originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Duke vs Virginia · Virginia 52%
