GeminiClosedKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 29, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Philadelphia wins by more than 3.5 points 41%
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 days ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 12:00 AM UTCAug 29, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
41%
37%
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Manifold MarketsRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Philadelphia in the entire NFL game between Cincinnati and Philadelphia scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 7:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Philadelphia's score minus Cincinnati's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
