GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Chicago wins by more than 7.5 points (32%)
Resolved: Sep 13, 2026, 8:38 PM
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Winning Outcome
Chicago wins by more than 7.5 points
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Chicago wins by more than 9.5 points94%
Chicago wins by more than 6.5 points39%
Chicago wins by more than 2.5 points54.5%
Chicago wins by more than 13.5 points20.5%
Chicago wins by more than 1.5 points56.5%
Carolina wins by more than 2.5 points35%
Chicago wins by more than 14.5 points55%
Carolina wins by more than 1.5 points37%
Chicago wins by more than 5.5 points40%
Chicago wins by more than 3.5 points43.5%
Chicago wins by more than 7.5 points32%
Carolina wins by more than 7.5 points17.5%
Chicago wins by more than 10.5 points25%
Carolina wins by more than 3.5 points29%
Carolina wins by more than 4.5 points25%
Carolina wins by more than 14.5 points6.5%
Carolina wins by more than 13.5 points8.5%
Chicago wins by more than 16.5 points8%
Chicago wins by more than 20.5 points58%
Chicago wins by more than 17.5 points21%
Chicago wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 20.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 7.5 pointsWon
Carolina wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Chicago wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Carolina wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Chicago in the entire NFL game between Chicago and Carolina scheduled for 2026-09-13 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 9.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Chicago's score minus Carolina's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).