Current implied probability
Carlos Alcaraz 74.5%
Carlos Alcaraz 74.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$178.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
73.0% / 76.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 6:00 PM UTCSep 26, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Jannik Sinner play fewer tournaments than Carlos Alcaraz in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the tennis match between the named outcome and the named outcome scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)
