GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: San Diego State (83%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 5:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
San Diego State
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 5:11 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
San Diego State73%
Cal State Fullerton5%
San Diego StateWon
Cal State FullertonLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold Markets2027 Pro Basketball Champion
KalshiRules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the men's college basketball game between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)