GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Toledo 91%
Toledo 91%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$52.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
90.0% / 91.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 10, 26, 7:30 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Buffalo vs Toledo
- This market resolves to Yes if Toledo wins the College Football game between Toledo and Buffalo originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toledo is 91%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Toledo 91% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Buffalo vs Toledo · Toledo 91%