Current implied probability
$55,000 or above 97%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 30, 26, 7:59 PMJul 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$55,000 or above97%
Compare venues· $55,000 or above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall91% match · auto | Medium | 31% | — | $4.1K | $106.9K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis pageMost active | Low | 97% | — | $15K | $0 | 1 minute ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Bitcoin price on July 31?
4.0 pts4d
+2.0pt29.3%
+5.5pt22.6%
-4.5pt18.9%
+8 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$4.1K
POLYMARKETRules
Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $55,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $55,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).