Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 12:16 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Dallas 57.6%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 12:30 AM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:30 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Austin vs Dallas
- If Dallas wins the Major League Soccer match between Dallas and Austin originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Dallas is 56%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Dallas 56% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Dallas vs Austin · Dallas 57%
- Also available on Polymarket — FC Dallas vs. Austin FC · FC Dallas 57%
- Also available on Futuur — Dallas vs. Austin · Dallas 56%
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jackson Koivun+0.3pt7.2%
- Jacob Bridgeman-0.6pt4.1%
- Benjamin James+0.5pt4.1%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.9M
- 24h Vol
- $5.7M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflspread 26 SEP 14 Denkc
- KC 1+48.0pt100%
- KC 2+53.0pt100%
- KC 3+62.0pt100%
+45 more outcomes
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+2.0pt10.9%
- Buffalo+1.0pt8.4%
- San Francisco6.7%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $112.7M
- 24h Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nfltotal 26 SEP 14 Denkc
- 17+6.0pt100%
- 20+3.0pt100%
- 23100%
+42 more outcomes
KALSHIYou vs Charaeva
- Alina Charaeva-10.0pt61%
- Xiaodi You+7.0pt39%
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHILys vs CE
- Eva Lys-13.0pt74.5%
- Gabriela CE+15.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
- BMW PGA Championship Winner
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Barcelona vs Santander
- Moro Canas vs Lagutin
- Biltmore Championship Asheville End of Round 1 Leader
- Pro Baseball Champion
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- DET Lions vs BUF Bills
- Havlickova vs Gorgodze
- Philadelphia vs Washington
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Austin vs Dallas?
- Gemini prices Dallas at 58% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Austin vs Dallas resolve?
- Austin vs Dallas is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Austin vs Dallas settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Austin vs Dallas
- Where else is Austin vs Dallas listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Futuur.