Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 10:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Athletic 38%Leader of 3 outcomes
Athletic 38%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Athletic vs Rayo
- This market resolves to Yes if Athletic wins the LaLiga match between Athletic and Rayo scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — LaLiga, Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club · Athletic Club 38%
- Also available on Polymarket — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club · Athletic Club 38%
- Also available on Futuur — Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Club · Athletic Club 37%
