GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Pacific 85.7%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Pacific 85.7%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
82.0% / 86.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Nov 14, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Pacific
- This market resolves to Yes if Pacific wins the men's college basketball game between Pacific and the named outcome originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Pacific is 83%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Pacific 83% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Pacific vs. Air Force · Yes 87%
- Also available on Kalshi — Air Force vs Pacific · Pacific 83%
