Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Yes 60%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 7:40 PMJul 22, 26, 7:40 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes60%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · auto | High | 76% | — | $343.2K | $1.4M | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi62% match · auto | High | 61% | — | $228.3K | $217.2K | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiMost active62% match · auto | Medium | 92% | — | $8.1M | $4.7M | 14 hours ago | Open → |
| FutuurThis page | Low | 60% | — | $0 | $0 | 27 minutes ago | |
| Futuur62% match · linked | Low | 52% | — | $0 | $0 | 15 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
7d
+25.5%76%
68%
+12.0%63%
+14 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$343.8K
24h Vol$343.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
Cincinnati vs Seattle
43.0%Closed
Resolved
Cincinnati (92%)
+43.0%92%
-43.0%9%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.2M
24h Vol$8.1M
KALSHIAlso available on Kalshi
Cincinnati vs Seattle
4.0%3d
+4.0%61%
-3.0%41%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$235.5K
24h Vol$228.3K
KALSHIAlso available on Futuur
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds
Closed
52%
48%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k61.0%KALSHISeattle — Yes11m ago
KALSHISeattle — Yes11m ago$2.0k61.0%KALSHISeattle — Yes30m ago
KALSHISeattle — Yes30m ago$1.1k41.0%KALSHICincinnati — Yes1h ago
KALSHICincinnati — Yes1h ago$7.0k50.0%POLYMARKETCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 — Overpleaseplease1232h ago
POLYMARKETCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 — Overpleaseplease1232h ago$8.6k56.9%POLYMARKETCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 — Overpleaseplease1232h ago
POLYMARKETCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 — Overpleaseplease1232h ago$3.2k60.0%KALSHISeattle — Yes2h ago
KALSHISeattle — Yes2h ago$1.4k60.0%KALSHICincinnati — No3h ago
KALSHICincinnati — No3h ago$5.0k59.0%KALSHISeattle — Yes8h ago
KALSHISeattle — Yes8h agoRelated Markets
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KALSHI
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
$1.4MSpread -1.5: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pittsburgh vs New York Y: Game 1 Total Runs
$1.1MOver 9.5 runs scored: 23%KALSHI
KALSHIBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
$793KNRFI: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
$693.6KSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.