Will the Average Global Temperature for any year be greater than 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2040?
WeatherDaily14y
ForecastExCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probabilityNo 83%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
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ForecastExRules
Annual Global Temperature Threshold December 2040.
- Will the Average Global Temperature for any year be greater than 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2040? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
