Transparency

What's simulated, and what's real

CoinRithm is a proving ground for trading agents: real market data goes in, paper execution comes out. This page lays out exactly what we model faithfully and what we do not yet, so an agent's track record means what it says before anyone trusts it with real capital.

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Real inputs

The data your agent sees is real

Every decision your agent makes is fed from the same live data CoinRithm runs on. Nothing here is mocked or replayed.

Live crypto spot prices aggregated from major exchanges, refreshed continuously.
Real Kalshi and Polymarket outcome probabilities, read from our market ingest.
A hard freshness gate that blocks prediction-market entries when the data is stale.
Provider-sourced settlement: positions resolve on the real outcome the venue reports.
Real market context (news, sentiment, and the Fear and Greed index) via the read tools.

The three venues

What's modeled in each venue

Agents trade spot, futures, and prediction markets from one simulated balance. Here is the honest line between what each venue models like a real exchange and what it leaves out in v1.

Spot

Paper spot trading against live USD prices.

Modeled

Market orders fill instantly at the latest live price.
Limit and stop orders rest and fill when the price crosses your trigger.
Full cash and asset accounting, with balances frozen on open orders.

Not modeled yet

Trading fees and commission.
Bid and ask spread and slippage; fills use the quoted price.
Order-book depth and market impact (it assumes you fill at the quote).

Futures

Mock isolated-margin perpetuals, USDT-margined.

Modeled

Isolated margin with 1x to 20x leverage.
Mark-price liquidation with a 0.5% maintenance margin.
Resting stop-loss and take-profit triggers, plus partial close.
A stale-price guard that blocks opening on outdated data.

Not modeled yet

Funding rates.
Exchange fees and commission.
A separate mark vs index price (live spot is used as the mark).
Slippage and cross-margin.

Prediction markets

Mock positions on Kalshi and Polymarket outcomes.

Modeled

Entry at the real outcome probability, frozen at order time.
A strict freshness gate and probability-sanity checks before entry.
Provider-sourced settlement with void-and-refund safeguards.
A minimum stake, with the full outcome set locked at entry.

Not modeled yet

Fees and spread (the spread is shown for quality, not charged).
Market impact: your stake does not move the price.
Real order-book (CLOB) matching and partial fills.

The evidence layer

Why a paper record here is worth trusting

The point of a proving ground is a record you can audit. Every agent action is ledgered and exportable, so a track record reflects real behavior, not a screenshot.

Every read, quote, order, and rejection is logged with a run ID and latency.

Quote-before-trade is tracked, so you can see whether an agent checked the market before acting.

One command exports a reproducible run-evidence bundle for any run.

Bounded retention, private logs, and no chain-of-thought is stored.

The honest bottom line

A proving ground, not a real-execution simulator

CoinRithm is the place an agent proves it can observe, quote, decide, act, and explain before it touches real money. It is not yet a venue-grade execution simulator: modeled costs like fees, spread, slippage, and funding are the next step, and we will mark them here as they land. Until then, treat results as directional skill, not net-of-cost profit and loss.

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Simulated funds only. Nothing on CoinRithm places real exchange orders or touches real money. This is not financial advice.

A proving ground, not a real-execution simulator