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Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 04.09.2026, 04:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 44 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 17:111. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
100%
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Regeln
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 13, 2026, and prior to the End Date listed below, a U.S. Senate seat becomes vacant, by any means sufficient to trigger vacancy replacement procedures as defined in the 17th Amendment.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 782.095,5 €
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- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
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+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 181,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026??
- PredictIt bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? entschieden?
- Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? abgerechnet?
- PredictIt rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 13, 2026, and prior to the End Date listed below, a U.S. Senate seat becomes vacant, by any means sufficient to trigger vacancy replacement procedures as defined in the 17th Amendment.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)