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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitikLatin America6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 4%
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

32.324,2 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.0% / 4.1%

Spread

2.5%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

5. Jan. 26, 22:2531. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes4%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

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Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,685.50+1.86%EthereumETH$1,654.27+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%XRPXRP$1.11+0.03%BNBBNB$596.29+1.58%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.