Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86%+2.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
13.457 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-14.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
31. Aug. 26, 19:43 UTC5. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part.
- Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party.
- Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? entschieden?
- Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? soll am 5. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.