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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

0.8% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 1%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1938,7 €

Liquidität

20.207,6 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.9% / 1.1%

Spread

22.2%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.9%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 18:2930. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes1%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sloviansk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.