PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
758,6 €
Liquidität
7709,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
8
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 20:42 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lionel Messi be with Inter Miami at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi play for Argentina in another major tournament?
Manifold MarketsMessi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
LimitlessWill Messi play for the Argentina National Team again?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition.
- The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify).
- If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 8%.
CoinRithm-Referenz 8% · 2 Plattformen · 0 Pkt. Venue-Spanne