PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (100%)
Entschieden: 12.07.2026, 19:59
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 100%+0.7%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2970,2 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 26, 0:5012. Juli 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
No0%
Yes100%
100%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Volumentrend
$3.4k8. Juli6T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
194.386,6 €Anthropic: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
40.780,8 €Anthropic: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
38.972,1 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
25.898,1 €Jacob Tsimerman: 24%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI this week
23.954,5 €Claude: 98%
KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
18.238,9 €ChatGPT: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRegeln
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans.
- An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
- The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.