Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJacob Tsimerman 25%+6.5%Führend unter 52 Optionen
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15. Sept. 23, 16:5831. Juli 26, 3:59
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Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
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Jacob Tsimerman25%
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$29.9k8. Juli7T Daten14. Juli
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KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).
- It's very silly to bet people over 25%.
- In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.
- I will resolve this as soon as I find out and not do any last-minute trading before resolving it.
- Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Someone who declines a Fields Medal award will still count as a winner for resolution purposes (as occurred in 2006 with Grigori Perelman).