KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitGemini 4%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.519,3 €
Liquidität
11.674,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 16:0020. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Gemini4%
Volumentrend
$14.3k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
194.971,3 €Anthropic: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
40.777,5 €Anthropic: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
38.960 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
29.289 €Jacob Tsimerman: 24.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI this week
25.944,1 €Claude: 98%KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
17.229,7 €ChatGPT: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.