PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 99%-0.2ptFührend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
20.647,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
0.8 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
-0.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
29. Jan. 26, 0:343. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic Party 96% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt.-Band
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — WI-04 House Election Winner · Democratic Party 99%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 160,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 845.369 €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 50,3 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Democratic Party mit 99% (Stand: 22. August 2026).
- Wann wird WI-04 House Election Winner entschieden?
- WI-04 House Election Winner soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird WI-04 House Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Wo wird WI-04 House Election Winner außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.