Which countries will Trump accuse of election interference by July 16?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlRussia / UkraineChina2T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Iran 56%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.516,6 €
Liquidität
100.016,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 2:3516. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Iran56%
Verwandte Märkte
Trump alleges foreign election interference by July 16?
96,5 €Ja: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump Election Interference Speech Prop Bets
198,5 €Russia is explicitly named as an interfering party: 35.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
121 €Ja: 25%
KALSHI
KALSHIWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
52,6 €Donald Trump: 86.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSChina attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
307 €Ja: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
18,4 €December 31: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalationBlockchain.News
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focusBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: United Russia slips to 53.5% as Ukraine strikes reportedBlockchain.News
Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18%Blockchain.News
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns.
- Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
- The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity.
- The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").