Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Moonshot 94%-0.2%Führend unter 29 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
862,5 €
Liquidität
43.891,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.2% / 1.2%
Spread
500.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
16. Juli 26, 1:4131. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Moonshot94%
Volumentrend
$98416. Juli6T Daten21. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of August?
33.399,9 €Anthropic: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
28.882,4 €August 31: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
17.533,2 €June 30, 2027: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
10.712,7 €Before July 24th: 74%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
7144,3 €Data Center: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6163,5 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.