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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?
US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitikMiddle East3T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 15
June 15 30%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

61 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

5187,5 €

Liquidität

2472,2 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.0% / 13.0%

Spread

225.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

12. Juni 26, 0:4816. Juni 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 1530%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by {date}, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date.
  • Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen.
  • Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
  • Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13").

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by {date}, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date.
  • Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen.
  • Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
  • Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13").